Episodes
4 days ago
4 days ago
There are a couple of hot commodities right now, including uranium, cocoa, and gold. The latter exploded higher in February this year after being stuck in a range for the best part of five years.
Several reasons have been posited for gold's renaissance, the primary being that investors who expect the Fed to cut rates have been buying the commodity.
A low-interest rate environment reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold and weighs on the US dollar, making bullion cheaper for non-US buyers.
One of the other reasons has been the buying of central banks - led by the People's Bank of China - to ease reliance on US dollars. Central banks have always viewed gold as a store of value and a haven in times of economic volatility - the type that might be precipitated by dramatically changing rate expectations.
Whatever the reason for the rally, gold is hot and investors have been keenly focused on the opportunities presented by the rich assortment of gold stocks available on the ASX.
To help you sort the wheat from the chaff, we sat down with Lowell Resources’ John Forwood and Acorn Capital’s Rick Squire for their top picks and outlook on the gold sector.
Note: This episode was recorded on Wednesday, 10 April 2024.
7 days ago
7 days ago
The law of supply and demand determines commodity prices. Currently, the uranium market is undersupplied, just as more nuclear reactors requiring fuel are being brought online. Some reports suggest the market will remain in structural undersupply for more than a decade.
It’s one thing for an underlying commodity to rally. Where the rubber meets the road for investors, however, is in equities. In that vein, we engaged Rick Squire from Acorn Capital and John Forwood from Lowell Resources to discuss the risks and opportunities in uranium. They also share a couple of stocks that appear overpriced, as well as four names they would buy today.
Note: This episode was recorded on Wednesday, 10 April 2024.
Monday Apr 08, 2024
The stocks headed for the ASX 20 (and 2 on the way out)
Monday Apr 08, 2024
Monday Apr 08, 2024
Over the last five, 10, 15 and 20 years, mid-cap stocks have managed to outperform both their large and small-cap counterparts. They've done this with the same volatility as small caps and, over the last decade, they've grown earnings at around 7.5% per annum - more than double that of the small and large-cap indices.
So, why is this? According to Blackwattle's Tim Riordan and Auscap's Will Mumford, it all comes down to quality. These businesses are more likely to have established themselves with some sort of competitive advantage and have more of a growth runway ahead of them to expand globally.
Meanwhile, two-thirds of the ASX 20 - Australia's largest listed businesses - are either major banks, reliant on China's iron ore demand, or exposed to the declining long-term outlook for oil and gas.
So in this episode, Livewire's James Marlay was joined by Riordan and Mumford for a look at two companies that could push these incumbents out of the ASX 20.
Plus, they also provide a deep dive into the mid-cap segment of the market, the positive factors that investors should look out for, and some of the red flags to have on your radars.
Note: This episode was recorded on Wednesday 27 March 2024. You can read an edited transcript below.
https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/the-stocks-headed-for-the-asx-20-and-2-on-the-way-out/
Friday Apr 05, 2024
Buy Hold Sell: 3 stocks ready for a rebound (and 2 due for a sell-off)
Friday Apr 05, 2024
Friday Apr 05, 2024
Unless you've been living under a rock, you've probably noticed it's been an incredibly strong six months for global markets.
The ASX 200, for instance, has rebounded 13% over the past six months, while the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 have soared 23% and 24% respectively over that same period.
Elsewhere in the world, the UK's FTSE 100 has lifted 6% in six months, Japan's Nikkei has skyrocketed 28%, and India's Nifty 50 has enjoyed a 15% bump. All in all, the MSCI World Index (USD) is now 21% higher than it was six months ago. And to think, we haven't even seen Fed rate cuts yet!
So, in this episode, Livewire's James Marlay was joined by Blackwattle Investment Partners' Tim Riordan and Auscap Asset Management's Will Mumford for their analysis of three stocks that are yet to participate in the market rally.
And just because you can't truly appreciate the highs without the lows (and the good without the bad), we also asked our fund managers to name one soaring darling that they believe will soon run out of steam.
Note: This episode was recorded on Wednesday 27 March 2024. You can read an edited transcript below.
Timecodes:
0:00 - Intro
0:30 - Is Orora a buy, hold or sell?
2:54 - Is Endeavour Group a buy, hold or sell?
4:33 - Is Arcadium Lithium a buy, hold or sell?
7:02 - Tim Riordan's stock that will run out of steam
7:53 - Will Mumford's stock that will run out of steam
Tuesday Apr 02, 2024
Buy Hold Sell: 5 undervalued founder-led stocks
Tuesday Apr 02, 2024
Tuesday Apr 02, 2024
In 2016, Bain & Company found that the companies most successful at maintaining profit growth over the long term disproportionately were companies where the founder was still running the business, still involved on its board, or where the principles the founder originally put in place persisted.
That's because founders possessed these three traits:
- Business insurgency - A unique feature or capability that gives a business purpose, waging war on industry norms on behalf of its clients.
- A "front line obsession" - A focus on the details at the front line and culture.
- The "owner's mindset" - Possessing the speed to act quickly and taking personal responsibility for risk and cost.
So, which founder-led stocks are flashing buy signals on the ASX?
In this episode, Livewire's James Marlay was joined by Blackwattle's Tim Riordan and Auscap's Will Mumford to find out.
Note: This episode was filmed on Wednesday 27 March 2024.
https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/buy-hold-sell-5-undervalued-founder-led-stocks
Thursday Mar 21, 2024
10 adviser-approved ETFs for 2024
Thursday Mar 21, 2024
Thursday Mar 21, 2024
By now, you’re probably aware of the stats highlighting the growth of ETFs in Australia (if not, they’re available here).
Alright, alright already, we get it… they’re very popular.
But just because something is popular, doesn’t always mean it is good, or that people know how to use it effectively (think Q-tips, running shoes, and Taylor Swift songs).
So, for this latest episode of Buy Hold Sell, we reached out to two advisors - people actually using these products in client portfolios – to get their take on the good, the bad, and the ugly across various factors and investment styles.
Be warned: When long-time friends Adam Dawes from Shaw and Partners and Andrew Wielandt from DP Wealth Advisory are together in the same room, there are often a few laughs to be had.
But you will also get practical and sound guidance, free from any spin – these two call it how they see it. So make sure to watch the video to find out Adam and Andrew's top ETFs for growth, income and value - as well as some they're cautious on.
Monday Mar 18, 2024
Answering the internet's most common ETF questions
Monday Mar 18, 2024
Monday Mar 18, 2024
Around 51% of Australians (or 10.2 million people) hold investments outside their homes and superannuation, according to the ASX. Of these investors, around 20% (or 2 million people) use exchange-traded funds (or ETFs) - up from 15% in 2020.
Investor interest in low-cost, liquid and diversified ETFs has seen assets under management in the industry explode over the last decade, with its market cap now reaching close to $190 billion. In fact, in the last 12 months alone, the market cap of the Australian ETF industry has surged 35.5% (or by $49.6 billion).
Given more investors are using ETFs than ever before, Livewire decided it would be worthwhile to go back to basics, reaching out to two ETF aficionados for their top tricks and tips on investing in these listed vehicles.
In this episode, Shaw and Partners' Adam Dawes and DP Wealth Advisory's Andrew Wielandt answer the internet's most common questions on ETFs. Plus, they also each name the one ETF they believe "rules them all". Note:
This episode was filmed on Wednesday 13 March 2024. You can read an edited transcript below.
https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/answering-the-internet-s-most-common-etf-questions
Friday Mar 15, 2024
Buy Hold Sell: Your top-tipped ETFs for 2024
Friday Mar 15, 2024
Friday Mar 15, 2024
There are now more than two million Australians using exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to invest, an increase of 7% compared to 2022 (according to Betashares).
As of the end of February, there was $189.4 billion invested across 359 ETFs, and with BlackRock estimating the market could more than double by 2027, it seems there's no stopping the explosive growth of the low-cost, easily accessible ETF market.
So in this episode, Livewire's Ally Selby was joined by Shaw and Partners Adam Dawes and DP Wealth Advisory's Andrew Wielandt for their analysis of Livewire and Market Index readers' top-tipped ETFs for 2024.
For most of your ETFs, our financial advisers provide similar calls - but there's one in particular that has them divided - and it's a doozy.
Note: This episode was recorded on Wednesday 13 March 2024. You can read the edited transcript below.
https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/buy-hold-sell-your-top-tipped-etfs-for-2024
Timecodes:
- 0:00 - Intro
- 0:31 - Is the Betashares Nasdaq 100 ETF (ASX: NDQ) a buy, hold or sell?
- 1:36 - Is the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS) a buy, hold or sell?
- 2:48 - Is the Betashares Global Cybersecurity ETF (ASX: HACK) a buy, hold or sell?
- 4:14 - Is the VanEck MSCI International Quality ETF (ASX: QUAL) a buy, hold or sell?
- 5:24 - Is the iShares S&P 500 ETF (ASX: IVV) a buy, hold or sell?
- 6:38 - Is the Vaneck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (ASX: MOAT) a buy, hold or sell?
- 8:05 - Is the Global X Fang+ ETF (ASX: FANG) a buy, hold or sell?
- 9:55 - Is the Vanguard Australian Shares High Yield ETF (ASX: VHY) a buy, hold or sell?
- 11:49 - Is the Global X Physical Gold ETF (ASX: GOLD) a buy, hold or sell?
- 12:58 - Is the Betashares Global Uranium ETF (ASX: URNM) a buy, hold or sell?
Friday Mar 08, 2024
Buy Hold Sell: 5 of the ASX's fastest-growing stocks
Friday Mar 08, 2024
Friday Mar 08, 2024
Growth stocks have been off to the races over the last few months, with the S&P/ASX 200 Growth Index rebounding 14% since hitting a low at the end of October 2023. Over that same time period, growth stocks like Megaport (up 52%), NEXTDC (up 44%), REA Group (up 28%), WiseTech Global (up 60%), and Lovisa (up 76%) - among many others - have all skyrocketed.
While I am not so sure that there are many ways to skin a cat, there are many ways to measure growth - think sales growth, revenue growth, earnings per share growth, dividend growth, and more.
So in this episode, Livewire's Ally Selby was joined by Regal's Jessica Farr-Jones and Spheria's Brittany Isakka for their analysis of three stocks with trailing 12-month earnings per share (EPS) growth of more than 100%. You'll learn whether these stocks can continue to push earnings to the limit over the year ahead.
Plus, our guests also name an emerging growth darling within their portfolios that they are backing over the next 12 months.
Note: This episode was recorded on Wednesday, 28 February 2024. You can read an edited transcript below:
https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/buy-hold-sell-5-of-the-asx-s-fastest-growing-stocks/
Monday Mar 04, 2024
Monday Mar 04, 2024
How do you avoid the small-cap potholes and identify the fast-lane stocks on the highway to success?
In this episode, Livewire's Ally Selby was joined by Regal Funds Management's Jessica Farr-Jones and Spheria Asset Management's Brittany Isakka for their tips and tricks for investing in emerging ASX-listed stocks.
They also share their outlook on small and micro-caps for the year ahead, the recent major changes they have made to portfolios, and two stocks they are backing with exciting growth trajectories over the next five years.
Plus, because this anonymous writer loves a dash of drama, they also name one stock that they believe can no longer deliver growth for investors.
Note: This episode was recorded on Wednesday, 28 February 2024. You can read an edited transcript below.