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Buy Hold Sell is a fast-paced business and investing podcast, bringing you stock tips and investment ideas every Friday and every second Monday. Join us as we quiz Australia’s top fund managers and investment analysts on a range of local and global stocks, as well as ETFs. Learn about the forces moving equities markets, the potholes you should avoid, and the companies going from strength to strength - all in 10 minutes or less. Whether you are new to investing or a seasoned professional, this podcast will get you thinking differently about markets.
Episodes
Saturday Sep 17, 2022
2 winning stocks (and how rising costs impact those micro caps in your portfolio)
Saturday Sep 17, 2022
Saturday Sep 17, 2022
Rising costs have become a major theme to come out of the August reporting season, with both inflation and the soaring cost of capital weighing on companies' balance sheets.
So which stocks can continue to survive and even thrive in this environment?
In this episode, Livewire's Chris Conway sits down with Stott and Fleming for their outlook on the future path of interest rates, as well as whether the capital needed by many micro and small caps has dried up.
Plus, they also name two stocks that can pass on these rising costs, as well as two that will likely continue to suffer.
Note: This episode of Buy Hold Sell was filmed on Wednesday, 14th September 2022. You can read an edited transcript below:
Friday Sep 16, 2022
Buy Hold Sell: 3 micro-cap buys (and 2 facing headwinds)
Friday Sep 16, 2022
Friday Sep 16, 2022
After a few months of episodes at the top end of town, the team here at Buy Hold Sell thought we would take a trip along the road less travelled.
Why? Well, micro caps are often under-researched, undervalued and underappreciated by investors. This means these stocks can potentially produce outsized returns - far greater than those seen in the large-cap end of the market.
But not all micro caps are created equal. These companies are often far less transparent, far less liquid, and can carry a hell of a lot more risk.
So in this episode, Livewire's Chris Conway makes his Buy Hold Sell debut alongside 1851 Capital's Chris Stott and Yarra Capital Management's Joel Fleming for a look at three undiscovered micro-cap gems.
Plus, they also each name one much-loved micro-cap with serious headwinds on the horizon.
Note: This episode of Buy Hold Sell was filmed on Wednesday, 14th September 2022. You can read an edited transcript below:
https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/buy-hold-sell-3-micro-cap-buys-and-2-facing-headwinds/
Friday Sep 09, 2022
Buy Hold Sell: 5 of your top stock picks
Friday Sep 09, 2022
Friday Sep 09, 2022
If there is one thing this anonymous writer can take away from the comments left on this very platform, not to mention our Meet the Investor series, it's that Livewire's readers seriously know what they are talking about.
Many of you have been investing for years, if not decades - and a large majority of you have done it all on your own (without the help of a financial services professional).
Given that reporting season is now behind us, as well as the volatility that we have seen in markets of late, we thought it would be wise to ask Livewire readers which stocks they would like to see covered on Buy Hold Sell.
So in this episode, Centennial Asset Management's Matthew Kidman was joined by abrdn's Michelle Lopez and First Sentier's David Wilson for their analysis of five of your top stocks.
Many thanks to all the readers who sent stock requests, particularly Wendy, Lisa, Walter, Chris, and Fred, whose picks ended up being selected for this episode. We are keeping the remaining stock picks in our back pocket for future episodes.
Note: This episode of Buy Hold Sell was filmed on Wednesday, 30th August 2022. You can read an edited transcript below:
https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/buy-hold-sell-5-of-readers-top-picks/
Monday Sep 05, 2022
The 10 best management teams this reporting season
Monday Sep 05, 2022
Monday Sep 05, 2022
We investors are told time and time again that a company is nothing without a great management team. That founder-led businesses often far outperform those with hired suits. That leaders who continue to exceed expectations are a rarity - and thus, invaluable.
Considering the mess of a market in which we find ourselves, Aussie companies have proved themselves to be "resilient" - resulting in a relatively "beige" reporting season this August.
So which companies have truly come out on top? And why does having the right management team make all the difference?
In this thematic episode of Buy Hold Sell, Centennial Asset Management's Matthew Kidman was joined by abrdn's Michelle Lopez and First Sentier's David Wilson for 10 of the country's best management teams this reporting season, including leaders from the financial, tech, materials, healthcare and industrial sectors.
Note: This episode of Buy Hold Sell was filmed on Wednesday, 30th August 2022. You can read an edited transcript below:
https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/the-10-best-management-teams-this-reporting-season/
Friday Sep 02, 2022
Buy Hold Sell: 3 stocks that smashed expectations (and 2 disappointments)
Friday Sep 02, 2022
Friday Sep 02, 2022
Investors across the country can be heard breathing a simultaneous sigh of relief as the all-important August reporting season comes to a close.
We made it, and it wasn't at all as bad as many predicted. And while, sure, there could be some serious storm clouds gathering on the horizon for earnings over the next six to 12 months, some companies have now proved they have the balance sheets (and the chutzpah) to survive and even thrive in the foreseeable future.
In this reporting season special of Buy Hold Sell, Centennial Asset Management's Matthew Kidman is joined by two powerhouse Aussie equities guests - abrdn's Michelle Lopez and First Sentier's David Wilson for their analysis of three stocks that smashed broker expectations (with the selection of these stocks thanks to Rudi Filapek-Vandyck of FN Arena).
And because we know you all love a little dash of drama, our guests also name two stocks that seriously disappointed this reporting season too.
Note: This episode of Buy Hold Sell was filmed on Wednesday, 30th August 2022. You can read an edited transcript below:
https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/buy-hold-sell-3-stocks-that-smashed-expectations-and-2-disappointments/
Friday Aug 26, 2022
Buy Hold Sell: 5 of the most-shorted stocks on the ASX
Friday Aug 26, 2022
Friday Aug 26, 2022
In a market of headwinds aplenty, where nothing really seems to be working, one momentum trade continues to gain traction... Buying the ASX's most shorted stocks.
In fact, since hitting lows in June, companies like Betmakers, Nanosonics, Block, Zip Co, and Lake Resources have skyrocketed higher, lifting a respective 33%, 47%, 30%, 132% and 101%.
So what does this mean for investors like you? Well, my friend, cast your mind back to the now infamous short squeeze of January 2021 - GameStop.
Back then, hedge funds were forced to cut their losses and buy back shares to cover their short positions, as retail investors continued to bid GameStop's share price higher. This drove the momentum in the company's share price, forcing it higher still. Its a classic supply-demand equation, but in this case, not enough supply of those selling the stock, and too much demand from buyers.
So could there be some short squeeze candidates hiding among Australia's most-shorted stocks? Unfortunately, for us investors, this is a very difficult (and potentially dangerous) game to play.
So why not take a longer-term view? In this episode, Livewire's Ally Selby was joined by Ben Clark from TMS Capital and Henry Jennings from Marcus Today for their views on the five most-shorted stocks on the ASX.
Note: This episode of Buy Hold Sell was filmed on Wednesday 17th August 2022. You can read an edited transcript below:
https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/buy-hold-sell-5-of-the-most-shorted-stocks-on-the-asx/
Monday Aug 22, 2022
6 stocks for a full portfolio reset (and 2 duds to avoid)
Monday Aug 22, 2022
Monday Aug 22, 2022
At some stages, many of us have suffered from some serious portfolio blues, confounded by a persistent sea of red. Meanwhile, the professionals have similarly had a rough time of it. As the benefits of the post-Global Financial Crisis bull market fade, many have posted negative returns for the first time in more than a decade.
So if you could, would you start from scratch?
If the answer to that question is yes - you're in luck. In this thematic episode of Buy Hold Sell, Livewire's Ally Selby was joined by TMS Capital's Ben Clark and Marcus Today's Henry Jennings for a full portfolio reset.
They share whether they would turn a fresh page if given the chance, the top three stocks they would want in each of these hypothetical portfolios, as well as the duds that are currently giving them grief that would be on their way out.
Plus, they share the macro headwinds that are still creasing their brows, as well as the sectors (and stocks) that they believe are still providing investors with compelling opportunities today.
Note: This episode of Buy Hold Sell was filmed on Wednesday 17th August 2022. You can read an edited transcript below:
https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/6-stocks-for-a-full-portfolio-reset-and-2-duds-to-avoid/
Friday Aug 19, 2022
Buy Hold Sell: 5 stocks to soar as recession risk rolls over
Friday Aug 19, 2022
Friday Aug 19, 2022
While the US is technically in a recession, with two negative quarters of GDP growth in the first half of 2022, several leading economists would say otherwise.
Look no further than Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius, who recently pointed to solid second-quarter earnings as proof of recession risk rolling over. Or JP Morgan's global head of macro quantitative and derivatives research, Marko Kolanovic, who remains pro-risk, steadfast that the probability of a recession is low.
Then, of course, there's former Deutsche Bank chief economist Ed Yardeni (now of Yardeni Research), who recently noted that the technical indicators are pointing in the direction of the bulls.
But that's all very US-focused. How does this fading risk impact Aussie stocks? Glad you asked.
In this episode, Livewire's Ally Selby was joined by Ben Clark from TMS Capital and Henry Jennings from Marcus Today for their analysis of three stocks that have been hit hard by recession fears.
Plus, they each name their number one pick that could soar if the risk of recession is truly behind us.
Note: This episode of Buy Hold Sell was filmed on Wednesday 17th August 2022. You can read an edited transcript below:
https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/buy-hold-sell-5-stocks-to-soar-as-recession-risk-rolls-over/
Friday Jul 29, 2022
Buy Hold Sell: 5 stocks battling for blue chip status
Friday Jul 29, 2022
Friday Jul 29, 2022
Just like in poker, these "blue chip" stocks are also highly valuable - and while the term no longer applies to expensive stocks, it has become synonymous with high-quality dividend payers that have made a name for themselves over the ages.
Really, the ASX 20 is an exclusive, members-only club, reserved for some of Australia's most valuable businesses. Think CSL, BHP, Macquarie - these stocks are market leaders, household names, and often global success stories worthy of adoration.
So in this episode, Livewire's Ally Selby was joined by IML's Hugh Giddy and Atlas Funds Management's Hugh Dive for their analysis of five stocks battling for blue chip status.
And spoiler alert: These fundies can't agree on anything in this episode - except that one of these stocks is a screaming sell.
Note: This episode was filmed on Wednesday, July 20th 2022. You can read an edited transcript below:
https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/buy-hold-sell-5-stocks-battling-for-blue-chip-status-2022-07-28/
Monday Jul 25, 2022
Two stocks making their way into the ASX 20 (and one on its way out)
Monday Jul 25, 2022
Monday Jul 25, 2022
We investors are constantly searching for the next CSL. After all, if you invested in this growth darling a decade ago, your cash would have increased by almost 616%. If you had invested two decades ago, that figure would skyrocket to 3097%.
But not all stocks that climb their way up into the ASX 20 stay there. In the past year, we've seen the Afterpay/Block acquisition and Brambles drop from the list. And then, of course, there are names like Pasminco, ERG Group, Centro Properties and Babcock & Brown, which over the past few decades, have stung investors on their way down.
So are we spending too much time trying to uncover the next CSL and not enough time thinking about whether there's a Babcock & Brown or a Pasminco lurking in our portfolios?
In this episode, Livewire's Ally Selby was joined by Atlas Funds Management's Hugh Dive and IML's Hugh Giddy for their analysis of the current market environment, where they think is safe, as well as one stock making its way up into the top 20 - and one on its way out.
Note: This video was filmed on Wednesday 20th July, 2022. You can read an edited transcript below: